Conf = ODAC
Nickname = VA Hornets Coach = Tim MarshaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.9927444 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Mary Washington CLC ( 8- 9, 90.4) 8-13 221 H Hood MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 8, 83.8) 11-10 224 H Widener MAC-Commonwlt ( 4-12, 85.1) 13-12 302 H Susquehanna Landmark (14- 4, 88.3) 9-10 306 H Allegheny PAC (10- 7, 83.9) 10- 3 309 A Penn College UnitedEast (10- 9, 79.8) 14-10 313 A Marymount AEC ( 9-10, 84.4) 10- 9 316 A Randolph-Macon ODAC (16- 5, 92.9) 1-15 327 A Bridgewater ODAC ( 6-11, 83.3) 12-11 330 H Roanoke ODAC (15- 6, 94.0) 8-29 403 H Washington & Lee ODAC (16- 6, 95.7) 8-18 405 A Randolph ODAC ( 5-11, 69.2) 22- 3 410 H Virginia Wesleyan ODAC ( 6-11, 78.5) 23- 4 413 A Ferrum ODAC ( 0- 9, 82.5) 1- 0 420 H Guilford ODAC ( 8-10, 82.8) 18- 8 424 A Lynchburg ODAC (16- 6, 96.3) 11-15 427 A Averett ODAC ( 3-15, 66.0) 19- 1 428 H Guilford ODAC ( 8-10, 82.8) 14- 4 430 A Roanoke ODAC (15- 6, 94.0) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Mary Washington 8-13 -5 -3 -1.03 221 H Hood 11-10 1 3 - -2.98 224 H Widener 13-12 1 2 -1.67 302 H Susquehanna 9-10 -1 0 -0.47 306 H Allegheny 10- 3 7 3 + 3.10 309 A Penn College 14-10 4 6 - -2.57 313 A Marymount 10- 9 1 1 -0.95 316 A Randolph-Macon 1-15 -14 -6 -0.52 327 A Bridgewater 12-11 1 3 - -2.08 330 H Roanoke 8-29 -21 -6 -0.82 403 H Washington & Lee 8-18 -10 -7 0.00 405 A Randolph 22- 3 19 17 0.00 410 H Virginia Wesleyan 23- 4 19 9 0.00 420 H Guilford 18- 8 10 4 + 2.05 424 A Lynchburg 11-15 -4 -9 + 3.00 427 A Averett 19- 1 18 20 0.00 428 H Guilford 14- 4 10 4 + 2.05 430 A Roanoke 6-16 -10 -7 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Hood 11-10 1 3 - -2.98 309 A Penn College 14-10 4 6 - -2.57 327 A Bridgewater 12-11 1 3 - -2.08OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Allegheny 10- 3 7 3 + 3.10 420 H Guilford 18- 8 10 4 + 2.05 424 A Lynchburg 11-15 -4 -9 + 3.00 428 H Guilford 14- 4 10 4 + 2.05
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 87.09 Power Rank................. 86 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 67.57 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 91 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6152 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 78 RPI Rating............... .5378 RPI Rank................... 86 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 202 Selection sum ........... 245 Selection Rank ............ 71 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -95. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 80 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -90. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 81 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 12.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.0